A true rise in pediatric coeliac disease

Consider this something of a micro blog post as I offer up your scientific TV dinner today in the form of the paper by White and colleagues* (open-access) on the numbers game when it comes to coeliac disease (even celiac disease if you prefer) in children.

On the understanding that not everyone knows about the currently known hows and whys of coeliac disease (CD) - the premier autoimmune condition linked to the protein gluten - readers might want to check out my CD mega-post over on a sister blog (see here).

Self-promotion over and done with, the paper from White et al looking at the incidence (that's incidence not prevalence) of CD is an important one, because as the authors conclude: "The significant increase in classic cases is strongly suggestive of a true rise in CD incidence". In other words, it's not just about better case ascertainment, at least when it comes to CD in Scotland.

So to the next question: 'why the increase?' We've been given a few areas that might require some further investigation (see here and here and here) but I'm not going to make any sweeping generalisations at this time.

The emergency exits are here and here

The title of this post has very little to do with steward / stewardess instructions delivered just before take-off, despite my recently watching the very funny Walliams/Lucas series 'Come Fly With Me'. Rather, with a straight face, I refer to your route into the world and whether Mother Nature required a helping hand in bringing you from the comfort of your watery cocoon into the real world. Could your route of entry alter your risk of developing certain things in later life... say coeliac (celiac) disease?

I am going to keep this post brief because this is a question that I have tackled before on a sister blog post: caesarean section and coeliac disease? The crux of that entry was the emerging suggestion that people born via caesarean section (c-section) were at greater risk of coeliac disease than those who were pushed through the bacteria-filled birth canal.

Further evidence has now emerged concerning a possible relationship in this paper by Marild and colleagues*. The details summarised:

• A case-control study where recorded pregnancy information was collected via a central database between 1973 and 2008.
• Biopsy-verified coeliac disease (CD) was determined for 11,749 participants compared with 53,887 age- and gender-matched non-CD general population controls.
• There was a positive significant association between elective c-section delivery and later CD diagnosis (p=0.005) but none for emergency c-sections.
• Small for dates babies were over 20% more likely to develop CD also.
• No other pregnancy variables showed an association with CD.

I quote from the author's final sentence of their abstract: ".. consistent with the hypothesis that the bacterial flora of the newborn plays a role in the development of celiac disease".

I must point out that whilst bacterial colonisation of the infant gut may be a variable in determining your risk of CD, it is most probably not the only important variable. I don't want anyone reading this entry and taking it to their healthcare provider as 'proof' of anything; it is not. Likewise I am not trying to overturn any 'too posh to push' arguments.

What however can be inferred from this paper is that there may consequences to every action; some consequence might be positive (such as getting a breech presenting infant out of mum and avoiding any very serious complications), some of them might be not-so positive. The trick is to see where this research leads and, just a suggestion, whether an early bacterial 'transplant' from mum to baby one day becomes the norm for those babies who don't end up traversing the birth canal. Just a suggestion.

* Marild K. et al. Pregnancy outcome and risk of celiac disease in offspring: a nationwide case-control study. Gastroenterology. October 2011.